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Why an Apple TV is becoming increasingly unlikely

Milan Jovicic by Milan Jovicic
November 18, 2024 - 7:06 PM CET
in Apple Insights
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Apple TV rumors

Photo by Unsplash+ / Getty Images

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For years, there have been rumors and speculation about a possible Apple TV. But despite the persistence of some analysts and fans, Apple has not yet launched its own TV. With the recent mention by Mark Gurman of Bloomberg, the topic seems to be revived. But how likely is it that Apple will really enter the highly competitive TV market? Below you will find out everything you need to know about the history of the rumors and the current situation - and why the idea of an Apple TV is now more unlikely than ever.

The idea that Apple, with its focus on premium products, could revolutionize the television market is nothing new. Back in 2011, Gene Munster, then an analyst at Piper Jaffray, predicted that Apple would soon launch a television. But year after year, these predictions were postponed—and ultimately abandoned. Today, we're at a point where television technology has advanced rapidly, prices have fallen dramatically, and profit margins in the industry are minimal. Is it even worth it for Apple to develop a television? Let's delve deeper into the facts.

The story of the rumors about the Apple TV

Speculation about the possible launch of an Apple TV has been going on for over a decade, and Gene Munster has been one of the most vocal proponents of this theory. His claims that Apple would present a TV "within a year" began in 2011 and continued for several years. But despite his persistence, no such product ever became a reality. One main reason for this could be that Apple has always taken a different approach: instead of building its own TV, the company relies on the Apple TV Box, which can turn almost any screen into a smart TV. This model has proven successful because it is not only cheaper but also allows for regular updates without users having to buy a new device.

Today's TV market: High performance at low prices

Televisions have evolved enormously in recent years. Models with 4K resolution, HDR, Dolby Vision and smart features are now available for just a few hundred euros. It would be difficult for Apple, known for its high margins, to gain a foothold in this price segment. Televisions are a low-margin business and the market is dominated by established brands that manufacture and sell their products in bulk.

Why an Apple TV is unlikely

Apple could theoretically develop a high-end TV that stands out with its exceptional design and exclusive features. But even in this scenario, sales would probably be limited. Unlike the Vision Pro, which focuses on a promising market, the TV market lacks long-term potential. Most consumers today buy mid-range TVs - high-end devices are a niche. In addition, Apple already offers a successful ecosystem around television. With the Apple TV Box, users can upgrade any brand and model with the features of tvOS, install apps and take advantage of Apple services such as iTunes, Apple TV+ and AirPlay. This modular approach is not only more economical but also more sustainable.

Why an Apple TV is more of a dream than a reality

The idea of an Apple TV may sound tempting, especially for fans of the company who want to get all their tech from a single source. But the reality is different: the TV market is highly competitive, margins are low, and there is little room for the kind of innovations that Apple usually introduces. Instead, the Apple TV Box remains the ideal solution for bringing the Apple experience to any TV. Whether Apple will ever develop a TV remains uncertain.

Apple TV 2024
Photo by Masarik / Bigstockphoto

But one thing is clear: In the current market situation, it seems more unlikely than ever. Apple has managed to succeed in many industries by focusing on future-oriented technologies – and the TV market isn't one of them. If you want to get the most out of your TV, an Apple TV box is the best option . And that might be exactly the solution Apple had in mind for us. (Photo by Unsplash+ / Getty Images)

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Milan Jovicic

Milan Jovicic

Milan founded Apfelpatient in 2016 and has been responsible for all editorial content since 2018 – news, rumors, how-to guides and product reviews. Here, Apple devices aren't review units kept for two weeks, they're everyday tools: from iPhone to MacBook Pro, MacBook Air and iMac all the way to Apple Vision Pro, at least one device from every product category is in daily use, many of them replaced every year. Every menu path in a guide is checked on the device before it goes live.

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