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Apple's foldable iPhone: Hope for a struggling market

Milan Jovicic by Milan Jovicic
December 2, 2024 - 9:00 PM CET
in Apple Rumors
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Photo by alexandrbognat / Bigstockphoto

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Foldable smartphones were once celebrated as the next big revolution in the mobile communications market. But the current figures show a different picture: the market has stalled and is even experiencing a decline. A report by DSCC (Display Supply Chain Consultants) makes it clear how great the challenges are for the industry. But there is hope - Apple could bring new momentum with its foldable iPhone.

Foldable smartphones represent innovation and futuristic design. They combine the advantages of a compact phone with the flexibility of a larger display. But despite the initial enthusiasm, a problematic trend is emerging: demand is stagnating and sales are falling. What does this mean for the future of these devices, and what role can Apple play in this?

The current state of foldable smartphones

According to DSCC, the market for foldable smartphones has suffered a setback. Here are the key findings from the report:

  • Decline in panel procurement: In the third quarter of 2024, procurement figures for foldable smartphone displays fell by 38% year-on-year.
  • Long-term downward trend: Four of the next five quarters are also expected to show declining numbers.
  • Growth stalls: After annual growth of at least 40% between 2019 and 2023, only 5% growth is forecast for 2024. Analysts even expect a decline of 4% for 2025.
  • Market saturation at 22 million panels: Demand seems to be stabilizing at this level without any further significant increases.

These figures make it clear that the industry is facing serious problems. The initial enthusiasm for foldable smartphones has not translated into sustainable growth.

Apple's foldable iPhone: The potential turning point

While the market is struggling, DSCC has high hopes for Apple's planned foldable iPhone, which is expected to launch in late 2026. Apple has often proven to be a game-changer when it comes to new technologies in the past. But why would the foldable iPhone change the market?

  1. Apple's market dominance

With its strong market position and high level of customer loyalty, Apple could have a decisive influence on the perception of foldable devices. Many users trust Apple's quality standards and are willing to pay for innovative products.

  1. improving the form factor

Current foldable smartphones struggle with issues such as durability, display quality and handling. Apple is known for perfecting existing technologies. If the company can eliminate these weaknesses, it could increase the acceptance of such devices.

  1. Projected growth through Apple

DSCC expects the market to grow by over 30% in 2026 thanks to the foldable iPhone. Growth rates of more than 20% are also forecast for 2027 and 2028. Apple's entry could therefore trigger a domino effect and revitalize the entire category.

  1. Innovations in functionality and application possibilities

There is speculation that Apple will not only deliver a foldable display but also develop new uses for such devices. This could make the difference that decisively influences demand.

Is Apple's foldable iPhone the solution?

Despite all the hope, a key question remains: Can a single device save the entire market? The answer is complex. While the foldable iPhone will undoubtedly increase interest in foldable devices, it is up to other manufacturers to offer attractive products as well. The current decline shows that the problems lie deeper - such as high production costs, technical challenges and limited usefulness for many users. While Apple will certainly provide a boost, the long-term stability of the market depends on more than just one product. Manufacturers such as Samsung, Huawei or Xiaomi must adapt and also deliver innovations to remain competitive.

The foldable iPhone: A defining moment for the industry

The market for foldable smartphones is at a crossroads. After years of growth, the first serious setbacks are emerging and the future of the category seems uncertain. But Apple's foldable iPhone could be a fresh start. Apple has proven in the past that it is capable of transforming entire markets. Whether it will succeed this time remains to be seen. For you as a user, the foldable iPhone could be an exciting step into the future - a device that is not only innovative but perhaps also shows how foldable smartphones can really unfold their potential. (Photo by alexandrbognat / Bigstockphoto)

  • iPhone 17 Air: The first step into a new era
  • Report: Apple's foldable iPhone relies on "wrap-around design"
  • iPhone roadmap: Big changes for the next few years
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Milan Jovicic

Milan Jovicic

Milan founded Apfelpatient in 2016 and has been responsible for all editorial content since 2018 – news, rumors, how-to guides and product reviews. Here, Apple devices aren't review units kept for two weeks, they're everyday tools: from iPhone to MacBook Pro, MacBook Air and iMac all the way to Apple Vision Pro, at least one device from every product category is in daily use, many of them replaced every year. Every menu path in a guide is checked on the device before it goes live.

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